Research materials shared with The Blast say BC Game calculated the ranking using mentions in Reddit breakup-prediction threads, engagement with those comments and media mentions linking couples to breakup talk. Swift and Kelce had 22 prediction mentions, 649 Reddit engagements and 18,300 recent news mentions related to breakup coverage. The score is not a 100% chance of a breakup.
Justin and Hailey Bieber placed second with a score of 94, followed by Prince Harry and Meghan Markle at 93. The Biebers had 23 prediction mentions and 1,887 Reddit engagements, but 390 recent news mentions. Harry and Meghan had 22 prediction mentions, 609 Reddit engagements and 6,810 news mentions.
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet ranked fourth. Their 2,451 Reddit engagements were the highest among the 10 couples, despite nine prediction mentions. Millie Bobby Brown and Jake Bongiovi were fifth with a score of 83, 23 prediction mentions, 2,376 engagements and 86 recent news mentions.
The remaining places went to Kourtney Kardashian and Travis Barker, Brooklyn Beckham and Nicola Peltz, Blake Lively and Ryan Reynolds, Rihanna and A$AP Rocky, and Donald and Melania Trump. The Trumps ranked tenth, but had the list’s highest recent breakup-related news count, at 109,000; their Reddit totals were three prediction mentions and 94 engagements.
BC Game’s CEO attributed interest in such speculation to parasocial relationships, saying people can feel close to celebrity couples despite never meeting them. Cambridge Dictionary named “parasocial” its 2025 word of the year. The report’s counts track discussion and coverage; they do not establish what is happening in any couple’s private life.
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