The report highlights a sharp spike in participation, with Republican turnout jumping from 52,593 in 2024 to 105,361 in 2026, despite the latter being a non-presidential cycle. Analysts from the group applied Klimek et al. fingerprint calculations to county data, uncovering patterns that deviate from expected organic voting behavior. These anomalies appear consistent across both Thomas Massie and his challenger, potentially indicating that aggregation at the district level is masking underlying data discrepancies.
Further regression analysis suggests that voter registration numbers acted as a predictive variable for vote totals—an outcome the group claims should not occur in a standard count. Precinct-level data revealed divergent trends, with Massie’s vote share appearing elevated in smaller precincts while Gallrein’s increased in larger ones. The Alliance, led by executive director Nathan Taylor, emphasizes that these findings do not constitute definitive proof of fraud. Instead, they serve as a request for independent oversight and a transparent hand recount of paper ballots to verify the accuracy of the final certification.


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